1.73
ELO
2.40
0.89
73%
▲12%
xG
KLY
XGB
ELO
2.40
0.31
73%
▲12%
BYS
KLY
XGB
CAT
2.40
0.31
1.73
▲12%
BYS
0.89
P(X=k)=λᵏe⁻λ/k!
f*=(bp−q)/b
EV=Σ(pᵢ·xᵢ)
σ²=E[X²]−μ²
ROI=(W−L)/L
softmax(xᵢ)=eˣⁱ/Σeˣʲ
AUC=P(X>Y)
Edge%=(p̂−p)·100
KL(P∥Q)=ΣP log P/Q
χ²=Σ(O−E)²/E
Ensemble AI · XGBoost + LightGBM + CatBoost

Beat the Bookswith Mathematical Edge

Our three-model AI ensemble analyses 25 features per match — ELO ratings, Poisson xG, real-time injuries, and Kelly Criterion staking — to surface value bets with surgical precision.

$
JK
SR
MT
AV
LD
0.3%
Model Accuracy
0M+
Predictions
0.4%
Avg Monthly ROI
🎯 Kelly: 4.2%
📊 Poisson xG: 1.73
⚡ ELO Δ +142
Live Analysis
ACTIVE
MCI
Man City
2
LIV
Liverpool
1
Win Probability73.2%
Model Confidence89.1%
Value Bet Detected
Book Odds
2.40
Edge
+12.8%
Man City H · 73.2% · Edge +12.8%
Real Madrid H · 68.5% · Edge +9.1%
Bayern Draw · 31.2% · Edge +7.4%
Arsenal H · 71.0% · Edge +11.2%
PSG H · 66.3% · Edge +8.9%
Inter Milan A · 52.1% · Edge +6.5%
Dortmund H · 69.8% · Edge +10.4%
Barcelona H · 74.1% · Edge +13.0%
Atletico Madrid H · 61.7% · Edge +8.2%
Liverpool BTTS · 78.4% · Edge +11.6%
Man City H · 73.2% · Edge +12.8%
Real Madrid H · 68.5% · Edge +9.1%
Bayern Draw · 31.2% · Edge +7.4%
Arsenal H · 71.0% · Edge +11.2%
PSG H · 66.3% · Edge +8.9%
Inter Milan A · 52.1% · Edge +6.5%
Dortmund H · 69.8% · Edge +10.4%
Barcelona H · 74.1% · Edge +13.0%
Atletico Madrid H · 61.7% · Edge +8.2%
Liverpool BTTS · 78.4% · Edge +11.6%
Core Features

Built Different.
Powered by Real Science.

Every number you see is the output of a verifiable mathematical pipeline — not a heuristic guess.

Ensemble AI
XGBoost, LightGBM & CatBoost models vote on every match. 25 handcrafted features, blended with Poisson probability.
True Probability
Poisson xG models + ELO-adjusted team strength expose mispriced bookmaker markets in real time.
Kelly Criterion
Automated fractional Kelly staking allocates optimal bankroll per bet, maximising long-run growth.
Live Injury Impact
Player market values weight each absentee. Squad depth recalculates probabilities instantly.
H2H Analysis
Up to 10 head-to-head results factoring draw rate and historic home bias into the edge calculation.
Weather Adjustment
Open-Meteo forecasts adjust xG for temperature, heavy rain, snow and wind conditions.
League DNA
League-specific home advantage (10–25 ELO pts), feature weighting and ML blending tuned per competition.
Data Integrity
Multi-source validation with TheSportsDB + Sportmonks fallback ensures data is always accurate.
The Process

From Raw Data to Profitable Edge in Seconds

01
Data Ingestion
Odds, ELO, xG, injuries, weather, H2H and standings pulled from 6+ sources simultaneously within seconds.
02
AI Processing
Three ensemble models score 25 features per match. Poisson probabilities blended with ML output using league-specific weights.
03
Edge & Staking
True probability vs. implied bookmaker odds reveals the edge. Kelly Criterion determines the mathematically optimal stake.
Our Engine

A Triple-Model Ensemble That Doesn't Guess

Three independent gradient-boosted models trained on 10+ years of match data vote on every fixture. Their predictions are blended with league-specific weights, adjusted by Poisson xG calculations, and filtered through a strict edge threshold before any pick is surfaced.

XGBoost 40%LightGBM 30%CatBoost 30%Poisson xGELO RatingsKelly Criterion28 Leagues25 FeaturesInjury ModelsWeather API
XGB
LGB
CAT
ELO
xG
KLY
Ensemble Output
Member Reviews

Real Bettors. Real Edge. Real Profit.

Verified results from our community of 40,000+ members across 28 leagues.

+9.2% ROI

I was skeptical at first, but after three months with PredEye my ROI is consistently above 9%. The Kelly staking alone changed everything — I never over-bet now.

MT
Marcus T.
Professional bettor · London
+11.4% ROI

The Poisson model caught a mispriced Bundesliga match that every other tipster missed. Up 2.4 units in one bet. This is the real deal — mathematical, transparent, profitable.

SR
Sophia R.
Data analyst · Berlin
+7.8% ROI

I've tried 6 other platforms. None of them show you the math. PredEye shows confidence intervals, ELO deltas, edge percentages. Finally something built for serious bettors.

JK
James K.
Quant trader · Amsterdam
Pricing

Choose Your Edge

Transparent pricing. Cancel anytime. No lock-in. Start free.

Free
Explore AI predictions at no cost.
0forever
  • Up to 5 match predictions / day
  • Basic team & league stats
  • League & time filter
  • Prediction history (30 days)
  • ROI & yield tracking
  • AI Backtester
  • Transfer market data
  • Telegram alerts
Pro
The complete professional toolkit.
29.99/mo
  • Everything in Starter
  • Transfer market & player data
  • Advanced lineup analysis
  • Closing odds CLV tracker
  • ELO + market drift signals
  • AI Backtester & simulation
  • ROI & yield tracking
  • Priority support

Cancel anytime · No contracts

FAQ

Common Questions

Our ensemble model has achieved 53.3% accuracy on match outcomes across 1M+ predictions. This combines XGBoost, LightGBM, and CatBoost voting, adjusted by Poisson xG and ELO. Edge percentages are audited monthly against closing line value.
We currently cover 41 football leagues including the Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, and UEFA competitions. Expansion to additional leagues is based on data availability and model training.
Our system calculates the mathematically optimal fraction of your bankroll to stake on each bet using the fractional Kelly Criterion (typically 25–50% of full Kelly to reduce variance). You set your bankroll once and stakes are calculated automatically per bet.
PredEye is a data analytics platform — we surface mathematical edges, not guaranteed outcomes. Legality of sports betting varies by jurisdiction. Tax obligations on gambling winnings also vary; please consult a local advisor.
Yes. You can cancel anytime from your dashboard. You retain access until the end of the current billing period. No cancellation fees, no contracts.
Pro adds more leagues, transfer market data, advanced lineup analysis, the AI Backtester (simulate strategies on historical data), closing line value tracking, and ROI/yield analytics. It's designed for bettors who want the complete analytical picture.
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